Diego Sanchez vs Joe Lauzon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-14-0Record28-15-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Diego Sanchez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joe Lauzon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1692
If they lose-13→ 1668
If they win+13→ 1662
If they lose-11→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego SanchezJoe Lauzon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Sanchez57%
Joe Lauzon 43%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Sanchez a 57% favorite over Joe Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Diego Sanchez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1649, a 32-point edge.
Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Diego Sanchez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Joe Lauzon 93%.
Diego Sanchez and Joe Lauzon share 2 common opponents: Al Iaquinta and Marcin Held.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.