Diego Sanchez vs Joe Riggs
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-14-0Record49-18-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach37,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamSoul Fighters
What's at stake
Joe Riggs is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Diego Sanchez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1694
If they lose-11→ 1670
If they win+11→ 1715
If they lose-13→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego SanchezJoe Riggs
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Sanchez53%
Joe Riggs 47%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Sanchez a 53% favorite over Joe Riggs in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Riggs's way (47%).
Joe Riggs holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1681, a 23-point edge.
Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Riggs enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Diego Sanchez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Joe Riggs 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.