Diego Sanchez vs Joe Stevenson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-14-0Record33-16-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamJoe Stevenson's Cobra Kai
What's at stake
Diego Sanchez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joe Stevenson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1691
If they lose-14→ 1667
If they win+14→ 1629
If they lose-10→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego SanchezJoe Stevenson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Sanchez67%
Joe Stevenson 33%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Sanchez a 67% favorite over Joe Stevenson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Diego Sanchez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1615, a 66-point edge.
Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Stevenson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Diego Sanchez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Joe Stevenson 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.