Diego Sanchez vs Jon Fitch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-14-0Record32-8-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Jon Fitch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Diego Sanchez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1695
If they lose-10→ 1671
If they win+10→ 1751
If they lose-14→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego SanchezJon Fitch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Fitch61%
Diego Sanchez 39%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Fitch a 61% favorite over Diego Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Jon Fitch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1681, a 60-point edge.
Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Diego Sanchez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Jon Fitch 38%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.