Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Sanchez vs Josh Koscheck

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Diego Sanchez
us

Diego Sanchez

“The Nightmare”

30-14-0WelterweightEFC

1681Good

Tale of the tape

30-14-0Record17-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamDethrone Base Camp

What's at stake

Diego Sanchez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Josh Koscheck carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Diego SanchezNow 1681
If they win+11→ 1692
If they lose-13→ 1668
Josh KoscheckNow 1644
If they win+13→ 1657
If they lose-11→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
1.79
38%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
56%
Strike defense
63%
1.51
Takedown avg.
2.46
24%
Takedown accuracy
48%
46%
Takedown defense
64%
0.83
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Diego SanchezJosh Koscheck
165017002016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

10 (34%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
6 (21%)
Submission
4 (24%)
13 (45%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Sanchez61%
Josh Koscheck 39%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Sanchez a 61% favorite over Josh Koscheck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Diego Sanchez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1644, a 37-point edge.

Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Diego Sanchez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Josh Koscheck 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.