Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Sanchez vs Marcin Held

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Diego Sanchez
us

Diego Sanchez

“The Nightmare”

30-14-0WelterweightEFC

1681Good

Tale of the tape

30-14-0Record29-10-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach39,5"
170 lbsWeight156 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAnkos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego SanchezNow 1681
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669
Marcin HeldNow 1679
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
1.41
38%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.02
56%
Strike defense
47%
1.51
Takedown avg.
2.46
24%
Takedown accuracy
47%
46%
Takedown defense
38%
0.83
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Diego SanchezMarcin Held
17002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (34%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
6 (21%)
Submission
15 (52%)
13 (45%)
Decision
10 (34%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Held64%
Diego Sanchez 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Held a 64% favorite over Diego Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Sanchez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1679), separated by just 2 points.

Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Diego Sanchez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Held 66%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.