Diego Sanchez vs Max Coga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-14-0Record28-8-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight156 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam MMA Spirit· 1652 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diego SanchezMax Coga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Sanchez56%
Max Coga 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Sanchez a 56% favorite over Max Coga in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Max Coga's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1683), separated by just 2 points.
Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Max Coga enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Diego Sanchez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Max Coga 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.