Diego Sanchez vs Michael Chiesa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-14-0Record20-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamSikjitsu
What's at stake
Michael Chiesa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Diego Sanchez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1696
If they lose-9→ 1672
If they win+9→ 1767
If they lose-15→ 1743
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego SanchezMichael Chiesa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Chiesa83%
Diego Sanchez 17%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Chiesa a 83% favorite over Diego Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Michael Chiesa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1681, a 77-point edge.
Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Diego Sanchez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Michael Chiesa 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.