Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Sanchez vs Mike Graves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Diego Sanchez
us

Diego Sanchez

“The Nightmare”

30-14-0WelterweightEFC

1681Good

Tale of the tape

30-14-0Record11-1-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego SanchezNow 1681
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669
Mike GravesNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
1.25
38%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.47
56%
Strike defense
59%
1.51
Takedown avg.
4.80
24%
Takedown accuracy
52%
46%
Takedown defense
67%
0.83
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Diego SanchezMike Graves
1700202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (34%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
6 (21%)
Submission
3 (27%)
13 (45%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Graves72%
Diego Sanchez 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Graves a 72% favorite over Diego Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1683), separated by just 2 points.

Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mike Graves enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Diego Sanchez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Mike Graves 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.