Diego Sanchez vs Nick Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-14-0Record26-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach76"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
Nick Diaz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Diego Sanchez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1696
If they lose-9→ 1672
If they win+9→ 1775
If they lose-15→ 1751
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diego SanchezNick Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Diaz62%
Diego Sanchez 38%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Diaz a 62% favorite over Diego Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Nick Diaz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1681, a 85-point edge.
Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nick Diaz enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Diego Sanchez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Nick Diaz 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.