Diego Sanchez vs Paulo Thiago
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-14-0Record19-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamX-Gym
What's at stake
Diego Sanchez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Paulo Thiago carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1690
If they lose-15→ 1666
If they win+15→ 1610
If they lose-9→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego SanchezPaulo Thiago
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Sanchez72%
Paulo Thiago 28%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Sanchez a 72% favorite over Paulo Thiago in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Diego Sanchez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1595, a 86-point edge.
Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Diego Sanchez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Thiago 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.