Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Sanchez vs Ricardo Lamas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Diego Sanchez
us

Diego Sanchez

“The Nightmare”

30-14-0WelterweightEFC

1681Good

Tale of the tape

30-14-0Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Ricardo Lamas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Diego Sanchez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Diego SanchezNow 1681
If they win+14→ 1695
If they lose-10→ 1671
Ricardo LamasNow 1730
If they win+10→ 1740
If they lose-14→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
38%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
56%
Strike defense
58%
1.51
Takedown avg.
1.84
24%
Takedown accuracy
34%
46%
Takedown defense
47%
0.83
Submission avg.
0.95

Trajectory

Diego SanchezRicardo Lamas
1700175020182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

10 (34%)
KO/TKO
6 (30%)
6 (21%)
Submission
5 (25%)
13 (45%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Lamas72%
Diego Sanchez 28%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Lamas a 72% favorite over Diego Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Ricardo Lamas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1681, a 49-point edge.

Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Diego Sanchez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lamas 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.