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Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Sanchez vs Trey Waters

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Diego Sanchez
us

Diego Sanchez

“The Nightmare”

30-14-0WelterweightEFC

1681Good
Trey Waters
us

Trey Waters

“The Truth”

10-2-0WelterweightPFL

1679Good

Tale of the tape

30-14-0Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'5"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamLudus MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego SanchezNow 1681
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669
Trey WatersNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
6.39
38%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
56%
Strike defense
56%
1.51
Takedown avg.
0.40
24%
Takedown accuracy
33%
46%
Takedown defense
86%
0.83
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Diego SanchezTrey Waters
165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (34%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
6 (21%)
Submission
3 (30%)
13 (45%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Diego Sanchez and Trey Waters within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1679), separated by just 2 points.

Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Diego Sanchez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Trey Waters 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.