Diego Santos vs Gary Quan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record3-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team 360mmaTeamTeam Hamlett
What's at stake
Diego Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gary Quan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1463
If they lose-18→ 1431
If they win+27→ 1433
If they lose-21→ 1385
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego SantosGary Quan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Santos75%
Gary Quan 25%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Santos a 75% favorite over Gary Quan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Diego Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1449 to 1406, a 43-point edge.
Gary Quan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Diego Santos finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Gary Quan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.