Diego Santos vs Matt Horning
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record20-25-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'4"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Team 360mmaTeamTeam Criis
What's at stake
Diego Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Matt Horning carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1422
If they lose-19→ 1390
If they win+14→ 1360
If they lose-10→ 1336
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diego SantosMatt Horning
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Santos66%
Matt Horning 34%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Santos a 66% favorite over Matt Horning in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Diego Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1409 to 1346, a 63-point edge.
Diego Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matt Horning enters on a 9-fight loss streak.
Diego Santos finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Matt Horning 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.