Diego Santos vs Rocky Lee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record4-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Rocky Lee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Diego Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1426
If they lose-15→ 1394
If they win+15→ 1449
If they lose-17→ 1417
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diego SantosRocky Lee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Santos56%
Rocky Lee 44%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Santos a 56% favorite over Rocky Lee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rocky Lee's way (46%).
Rocky Lee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1434 to 1409, a 25-point edge.
Diego Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rocky Lee enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Diego Santos finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Rocky Lee 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.