Diego Saraiva vs Jorge Gurgel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
22-20-1Record14-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
149 lbsWeight154 lbs
Team OctopusTeamTeam Jorge Gurgel
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1564
If they lose-12→ 1540
If they win+15→ 1579
If they lose-17→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diego SaraivaJorge Gurgel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Saraiva56%
Jorge Gurgel 44%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Saraiva a 56% favorite over Jorge Gurgel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Gurgel's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1564), separated by just 12 points.
Diego Saraiva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jorge Gurgel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Diego Saraiva finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Gurgel 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.