Dileno Lopes vs Gabriella Carbone
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-9-0Record0-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'8"
65.00Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova Uniao ManausTeamMMA Barcelona Team
What's at stake
Dileno Lopes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Gabriella Carbone carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1466
If they lose-25→ 1418
If they win+25→ 1449
If they lose-23→ 1401
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dileno LopesGabriella Carbone
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriella Carbone52%
Dileno Lopes 48%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriella Carbone a 52% favorite over Dileno Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dileno Lopes's way (47%).
Dileno Lopes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1443 to 1424, a 19-point edge.
Dileno Lopes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gabriella Carbone enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dileno Lopes finishes 90% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.