Combat Edge Intelligence

Dileno Lopes vs Reginaldo Vieira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record17-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'6"
65.00Reach65,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Nova Uniao ManausTeamAmazon School

What's at stake

Reginaldo Vieira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Dileno Lopes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dileno LopesNow 1469
If they win+32→ 1501
If they lose-16→ 1453
Reginaldo VieiraNow 1596
If they win+8→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1593 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
36%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
54%
Strike defense
59%
2.50
Takedown avg.
1.97
31%
Takedown accuracy
28%
100%
Takedown defense
25%
1.50
Submission avg.
0.79

Trajectory

Dileno LopesReginaldo Vieira
14501500155016002020202120222023

Win method breakdown

4 (19%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
15 (71%)
Submission
13 (81%)
2 (10%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Reginaldo Vieira56%
Dileno Lopes 44%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Reginaldo Vieira a 56% favorite over Dileno Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Reginaldo Vieira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1596 to 1469, a 127-point edge.

Dileno Lopes finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Reginaldo Vieira 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.