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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dileno Lopes vs Ryusei Ashizawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record2-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'9"
65.00Reach-
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Nova Uniao ManausTeamFreelance· 1556 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dileno LopesNow 1444
If they win+24→ 1468
If they lose-24→ 1420
Ryusei AshizawaNow 1437
If they win+24→ 1461
If they lose-24→ 1413

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
36%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
54%
Strike defense
Not available
2.50
Takedown avg.
Not available
31%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
100%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.50
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dileno LopesRyusei Ashizawa
14501500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (19%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
15 (71%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (10%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryusei Ashizawa57%
Dileno Lopes 43%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryusei Ashizawa a 57% favorite over Dileno Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dileno Lopes's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1444 vs 1437), separated by just 7 points.

Dileno Lopes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ryusei Ashizawa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Dileno Lopes finishes 90% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.