Combat Edge Intelligence

Din Thomas vs Jeremy Stephens

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Din Thomas
us

Din Thomas

“Dinyero”

26-9-0FeatherweightLFC

1575Solid

Tale of the tape

26-9-0Record29-23-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach71"
143 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

Din Thomas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Stephens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Din ThomasNow 1575
If they win+11→ 1586
If they lose-13→ 1562
Jeremy StephensNow 1551
If they win+13→ 1564
If they lose-11→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.85
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
38%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
59%
Strike defense
59%
1.38
Takedown avg.
1.11
53%
Takedown accuracy
38%
77%
Takedown defense
62%
1.22
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Din ThomasJeremy Stephens
15502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
19 (66%)
15 (58%)
Submission
2 (7%)
4 (15%)
Decision
8 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Din Thomas and Jeremy Stephens within a point of even.

Din Thomas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1575 to 1551, a 24-point edge.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Din Thomas finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Stephens 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.