Combat Edge Intelligence

Dinis Paiva vs Tomáš Deák

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dinis Paiva
us

Dinis Paiva

“Sweetbread”

13-9-0BantamweightCES

1558Solid

Tale of the tape

13-9-0Record25-15-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'4"
TBDReach65.7"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Keith Allen MMATeamOctagon Fighting Academy· 1591 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dinis PaivaNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Tomáš DeákNow 1565
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.60
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
67%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
82%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dinis PaivaTomáš Deák
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
2 (15%)
Submission
11 (44%)
4 (31%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Tomáš Deák84%
Dinis Paiva 16%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Deák a 84% favorite over Dinis Paiva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1565), separated by just 7 points.

Dinis Paiva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dinis Paiva finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Deák 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.