Dionnis Romero vs Gilbert Rael
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-2-0Record1-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
163 lbsWeight155 lbs
Mettle MMATeam
What's at stake
Dionnis Romero is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Gilbert Rael carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1472
If they lose-25→ 1424
If they win+25→ 1458
If they lose-23→ 1410
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dionnis RomeroGilbert Rael
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dionnis Romero61%
Gilbert Rael 39%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Dionnis Romero a 61% favorite over Gilbert Rael in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Dionnis Romero holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1449 to 1433, a 16-point edge.
Dionnis Romero enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Rael enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.