Dionnis Romero vs Italo Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-2-0Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"HeightTBD
-Reach-
163 lbsWeight155 lbs
Mettle MMATeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1473
If they lose-24→ 1425
If they win+24→ 1476
If they lose-24→ 1428
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dionnis RomeroItalo Diaz
Combat Edge model read
Dionnis Romero54%
Italo Diaz 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dionnis Romero a 54% favorite over Italo Diaz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Italo Diaz's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1449 vs 1452), separated by just 3 points.
Dionnis Romero enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Italo Diaz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.