Dionnis Romero vs Sam Watford
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-2-0Record4-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach78,0"
163 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Dionnis Romero is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Sam Watford carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1471
If they lose-26→ 1423
If they win+17→ 1438
If they lose-15→ 1406
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dionnis RomeroSam Watford
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dionnis Romero68%
Sam Watford 32%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Dionnis Romero a 68% favorite over Sam Watford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Dionnis Romero holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1449 to 1421, a 28-point edge.
Dionnis Romero enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sam Watford enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sam Watford 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.