Diyar Nurgozhay vs Dustin Jacoby
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record22-10-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
74"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tobet Top TeamTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diyar NurgozhayDustin Jacoby
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diyar Nurgozhay60%
Dustin Jacoby 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Diyar Nurgozhay a 60% favorite over Dustin Jacoby in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1695), separated by just 4 points.
Diyar Nurgozhay enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Jacoby 73%.
Diyar Nurgozhay and Dustin Jacoby share 1 common opponent: Bruno Lopes.
Dustin Jacoby carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.