Diyar Nurgozhay vs Jamahal Hill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record12-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
74"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diyar NurgozhayJamahal Hill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diyar Nurgozhay66%
Jamahal Hill 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Diyar Nurgozhay a 66% favorite over Jamahal Hill in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamahal Hill's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1703), separated by just 4 points.
Diyar Nurgozhay enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jamahal Hill enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jamahal Hill 58%.
Jamahal Hill carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.