Diyar Nurgozhay vs Mike Whitehead
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record27-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight261 lbs
Tobet Top TeamTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diyar NurgozhayMike Whitehead
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diyar Nurgozhay73%
Mike Whitehead 27%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Diyar Nurgozhay a 73% favorite over Mike Whitehead in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Whitehead's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1703), separated by just 4 points.
Diyar Nurgozhay enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mike Whitehead 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.