Combat Edge Intelligence

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Robert Drysdale

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record7-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tobet Top TeamTeamDrysdale Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diyar NurgozhayNow 1699
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683
Robert DrysdaleNow 1700
If they win+24→ 1724
If they lose-24→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
0
59%
Strike accuracy
0%
2.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0
61%
Strike defense
0%
1.37
Takedown avg.
7.32
50%
Takedown accuracy
100%
80%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
21.95

Trajectory

Diyar NurgozhayRobert Drysdale
16501700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (17%)
Submission
7 (100%)
3 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Diyar Nurgozhay62%
Robert Drysdale 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Diyar Nurgozhay a 62% favorite over Robert Drysdale in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Robert Drysdale's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1700), separated by just 1 points.

Diyar Nurgozhay enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Robert Drysdale enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Robert Drysdale 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.