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Combat Edge Intelligence

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Roman Dolidze

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roman Dolidze
ge

Roman Dolidze

“The Caucasian”

15-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1707Good

Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record15-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"Reach 76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tobet Top TeamTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diyar NurgozhayNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
Roman DolidzeNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
3.19
59%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.71
61%
Strike defense
48%
1.37
Takedown avg.
1.16
50%
Takedown accuracy
28%
80%
Takedown defense
32%
0
Submission avg.
0.74

Trajectory

Diyar NurgozhayRoman Dolidze
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (20%)
3 (25%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Dolidze65%
Diyar Nurgozhay 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Dolidze a 65% favorite over Diyar Nurgozhay in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1707), separated by just 1 points.

Diyar Nurgozhay enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Roman Dolidze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Roman Dolidze 73%.

Roman Dolidze carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.