Combat Edge Intelligence

Djulia Ariana vs Irina Alekseeva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record5-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
66"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Udi Lima TeamTeamRaty Team· avg 1674 Elo

What's at stake

Djulia Ariana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Irina Alekseeva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Djulia ArianaNow 1545
If they win+23→ 1568
If they lose-25→ 1520
Irina AlekseevaNow 1526
If they win+25→ 1551
If they lose-23→ 1503

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.01
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.03
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.47
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Djulia ArianaIrina Alekseeva
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
1 (20%)
Submission
2 (40%)
3 (60%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Djulia Ariana62%
Irina Alekseeva 38%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Djulia Ariana a 62% favorite over Irina Alekseeva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Djulia Ariana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1545 to 1526, a 19-point edge.

Irina Alekseeva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Djulia Ariana finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Irina Alekseeva 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.