Combat Edge Intelligence

Djulia Ariana vs Kelly Faszholz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record4-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
66"Reach40,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Udi Lima TeamTeamNor-Cal Fighting Alliance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Djulia ArianaNow 1543
If they win+24→ 1567
If they lose-24→ 1519
Kelly FaszholzNow 1542
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.01
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.61
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
44%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Djulia ArianaKelly Faszholz
1500155020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Submission
3 (75%)
3 (60%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Djulia Ariana66%
Kelly Faszholz 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Djulia Ariana a 66% favorite over Kelly Faszholz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1543 vs 1542), separated by just 1 points.

Djulia Ariana finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Kelly Faszholz 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.