Combat Edge Intelligence

Djulia Ariana vs Kelly McGill-Velasco

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record2-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
66"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Udi Lima TeamTeamLast Stand Fight Team

What's at stake

Djulia Ariana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Kelly McGill-Velasco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Djulia ArianaNow 1545
If they win+21→ 1566
If they lose-27→ 1518
Kelly McGill-VelascoNow 1500
If they win+27→ 1527
If they lose-21→ 1479

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Djulia ArianaKelly McGill-Velasco
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
1 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (60%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Djulia Ariana71%
Kelly McGill-Velasco 29%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Djulia Ariana a 71% favorite over Kelly McGill-Velasco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Djulia Ariana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1545 to 1500, a 45-point edge.

Kelly McGill-Velasco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Djulia Ariana finishes 40% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.