Combat Edge Intelligence

Djulia Ariana vs Marilia Morais

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record3-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
66"ReachN/A
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Udi Lima TeamTeamRasthai Temple

What's at stake

Djulia Ariana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Marilia Morais carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Djulia ArianaNow 1543
If they win+23→ 1566
If they lose-25→ 1518
Marilia MoraisNow 1522
If they win+25→ 1547
If they lose-23→ 1499

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Djulia ArianaMarilia Morais
1550202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
1 (20%)
Submission
1 (33%)
3 (60%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Djulia Ariana71%
Marilia Morais 29%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Djulia Ariana a 71% favorite over Marilia Morais in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Djulia Ariana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1543 to 1522, a 21-point edge.

Marilia Morais enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Djulia Ariana finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Marilia Morais 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.