Djulia Ariana vs Mônica Fontes
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Mônica Fontes51%
Djulia Ariana 49%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Mônica Fontes a 51% favorite over Djulia Ariana in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Djulia Ariana's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1536), separated by just 10 points.
Mônica Fontes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Djulia Ariana finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Mônica Fontes 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record4-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
66"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1569
If they lose-25→ 1521
If they win+25→ 1561
If they lose-23→ 1513
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Djulia ArianaMônica Fontes