Combat Edge Intelligence

Djulia Ariana vs Tamires Vidal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
66"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Udi Lima TeamTeamBenito Macapa Fight Team

What's at stake

Tamires Vidal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Djulia Ariana carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Djulia ArianaNow 1545
If they win+25→ 1570
If they lose-23→ 1522
Tamires VidalNow 1562
If they win+15→ 1577
If they lose-17→ 1545

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.46
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
36%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.69

Trajectory

Djulia ArianaTamires Vidal
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
1 (20%)
Submission
2 (33%)
3 (60%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Djulia Ariana51%
Tamires Vidal 49%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Djulia Ariana a 51% favorite over Tamires Vidal in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tamires Vidal's way (48%).

Tamires Vidal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1562 to 1545, a 17-point edge.

Tamires Vidal enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Djulia Ariana finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Tamires Vidal 50%.

Tamires Vidal carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.