Djulia Ariana vs Vanessa Melo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record11-12-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'5"
66"Reach65,0"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Udi Lima TeamTeamBabuino Gold Team
What's at stake
Djulia Ariana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Vanessa Melo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1563
If they lose-28→ 1515
If they win+19→ 1499
If they lose-13→ 1467
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Djulia ArianaVanessa Melo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Djulia Ariana83%
Vanessa Melo 17%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Djulia Ariana a 83% favorite over Vanessa Melo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Djulia Ariana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1543 to 1480, a 63-point edge.
Vanessa Melo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Djulia Ariana finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Vanessa Melo 18%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.