Combat Edge Intelligence

Dmitrii Ceacusta vs Eric Lawson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record9-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight180 lbs
TBDTeamCombat Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dmitrii CeacustaNow 1525
If they win+24→ 1549
If they lose-24→ 1501
Eric LawsonNow 1525
If they win+16→ 1541
If they lose-16→ 1509

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dmitrii CeacustaEric Lawson
15501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (56%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Dmitrii Ceacusta76%
Eric Lawson 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dmitrii Ceacusta a 76% favorite over Eric Lawson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1525), separated by just 0 points.

Eric Lawson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eric Lawson 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.