Dmitrii Ceacusta vs Ildemar Alcantara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record26-18-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
-Reach44,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamMarajo Brothers Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1549
If they lose-24→ 1501
If they win+12→ 1540
If they lose-12→ 1516
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dmitrii CeacustaIldemar Alcantara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dmitrii Ceacusta79%
Ildemar Alcantara 21%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dmitrii Ceacusta a 79% favorite over Ildemar Alcantara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ildemar Alcantara's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1528), separated by just 3 points.
Ildemar Alcantara enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Ildemar Alcantara 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.