Combat Edge Intelligence

Dmitrii Ceacusta vs José Medina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record11-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
-Reach74″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamPhuket Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dmitrii CeacustaNow 1525
If they win+25→ 1550
If they lose-23→ 1502
José MedinaNow 1536
If they win+15→ 1551
If they lose-17→ 1519

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.07
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.40
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
28%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dmitrii CeacustaJosé Medina
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (18%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Dmitrii Ceacusta71%
José Medina 29%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Dmitrii Ceacusta a 71% favorite over José Medina in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans José Medina's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1536), separated by just 11 points.

José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

José Medina 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.