Dmitrii Ceacusta vs Lee Murray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record8-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamLondon Shootfighters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1549
If they lose-24→ 1501
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dmitrii CeacustaLee Murray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dmitrii Ceacusta76%
Lee Murray 24%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Dmitrii Ceacusta a 76% favorite over Lee Murray in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lee Murray's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1529), separated by just 4 points.
Lee Murray enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lee Murray 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.