Dmitrii Smoliakov vs Greg Hardy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Dmitrii Smoliakov
Elo1455Average
Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record9-6-0
TBDDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'5"
44.00Reach80"
TBDWeight266 lbs
TBDTeamSkills Sport & Fitness
What's at stake
Greg Hardy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Dmitrii Smoliakov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+35→ 1490
If they lose-13→ 1442
If they win+9→ 1632
If they lose-23→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dmitrii SmoliakovGreg Hardy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Greg Hardy84%
Dmitrii Smoliakov 16%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Greg Hardy a 84% favorite over Dmitrii Smoliakov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Greg Hardy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1455, a 168-point edge.
Dmitrii Smoliakov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Greg Hardy 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.