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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dmitrii Smoliakov vs Lorenzo Figueroa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record2-2-0
TBDDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeightTBD
44.00Reach-
TBDWeight223 lbs
TBDTeam

What's at stake

Lorenzo Figueroa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Dmitrii Smoliakov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dmitrii SmoliakovNow 1455
If they win+27→ 1482
If they lose-21→ 1434
Lorenzo FigueroaNow 1502
If they win+21→ 1523
If they lose-27→ 1475

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.44
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
75%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dmitrii SmoliakovLorenzo Figueroa
145015002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lorenzo Figueroa59%
Dmitrii Smoliakov 41%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo Figueroa a 59% favorite over Dmitrii Smoliakov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Lorenzo Figueroa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1502 to 1455, a 47-point edge.

Dmitrii Smoliakov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.