Dmitrii Smoliakov
Elo1455AverageDmitrii Smoliakov vs Ryo Sakai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →Elo1455Average
Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record15-16-0
TBDDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight5'11"
44.00Reach-
TBDWeight246 lbs
TBDTeamRanger Gym
What's at stake
Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dmitrii Smoliakov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1482
If they lose-21→ 1434
If they win+11→ 1505
If they lose-13→ 1481
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dmitrii SmoliakovRyo Sakai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Sakai56%
Dmitrii Smoliakov 44%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 56% favorite over Dmitrii Smoliakov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1494 to 1455, a 39-point edge.
Dmitrii Smoliakov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.