Combat Edge Intelligence

Dmitriy Aryshev vs Khalil Rountree Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-10-1Record14-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
-Reach76"
187 lbsWeight205 lbs
Sech ProTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dmitriy AryshevNow 1666
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654
Khalil Rountree Jr.Now 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.88
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
59%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Dmitriy AryshevKhalil Rountree Jr.
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (80%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
2 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (7%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Dmitriy Aryshev56%
Khalil Rountree Jr. 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dmitriy Aryshev a 56% favorite over Khalil Rountree Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1666), separated by just 0 points.

Dmitriy Aryshev finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Khalil Rountree Jr. 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.