Combat Edge Intelligence

Dmitriy Aryshev vs Magomed Tuchalov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-10-1Record7-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'5"
-Reach78"
187 lbsWeight205 lbs
Sech ProTeamDagestan Fighter

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dmitriy AryshevNow 1666
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654
Magomed TuchalovNow 1666
If they win+24→ 1690
If they lose-24→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dmitriy AryshevMagomed Tuchalov
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (80%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
2 (13%)
Submission
1 (14%)
1 (7%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Tuchalov61%
Dmitriy Aryshev 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Tuchalov a 61% favorite over Dmitriy Aryshev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dmitriy Aryshev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1666), separated by just 0 points.

Magomed Tuchalov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Dmitriy Aryshev finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Tuchalov 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.