Dmitriy Aryshev vs Misha Cirkunov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-1Record15-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
-Reach77"
187 lbsWeight205 lbs
Sech Pro· 1681 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dmitriy AryshevMisha Cirkunov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dmitriy Aryshev66%
Misha Cirkunov 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Dmitriy Aryshev a 66% favorite over Misha Cirkunov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Misha Cirkunov's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1670), separated by just 4 points.
Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Dmitriy Aryshev finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Misha Cirkunov 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.