Combat Edge Intelligence

Domen Drnovsek vs Erik Pletikos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record3-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gracie Barra LjubljanaTeamTrojan Free Fighters· 1567 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Domen Drnovsek is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Erik Pletikos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Domen DrnovsekNow 1554
If they win+21→ 1575
If they lose-27→ 1527
Erik PletikosNow 1514
If they win+27→ 1541
If they lose-21→ 1493

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Domen DrnovsekErik Pletikos
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
2 (50%)
Submission
1 (33%)
2 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Domen Drnovsek68%
Erik Pletikos 32%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Domen Drnovsek a 68% favorite over Erik Pletikos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Domen Drnovsek holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1554 to 1514, a 40-point edge.

Domen Drnovsek enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Erik Pletikos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Domen Drnovsek finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Erik Pletikos 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.