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Combat Edge Intelligence

Domen Drnovsek vs Joe Brammer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Brammer
us

Joe Brammer

“The Southside Strangler”

7-3-1Lightweight

1555Solid

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record7-3-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Gracie Barra LjubljanaTeamVictory MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Domen DrnovsekNow 1554
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530
Joe BrammerNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.15
Not available
Strike accuracy
32%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
Not available
Strike defense
57%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.81
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Domen DrnovsekJoe Brammer
1500155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
2 (50%)
Submission
5 (71%)
2 (50%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Domen Drnovsek53%
Joe Brammer 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Domen Drnovsek a 53% favorite over Joe Brammer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Brammer's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1555), separated by just 1 points.

Domen Drnovsek enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Joe Brammer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Domen Drnovsek finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Joe Brammer 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.