Dominic Brown vs Joe Schilling
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-23-0Record4-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Ju-Jitsu AcademyTeamThe Yard Muay Thai
What's at stake
Joe Schilling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Dominic Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1434
If they lose-11→ 1410
If they win+21→ 1483
If they lose-27→ 1435
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominic BrownJoe Schilling
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Schilling72%
Dominic Brown 28%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 72% favorite over Dominic Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Joe Schilling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1462 to 1421, a 41-point edge.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dominic Brown finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Joe Schilling 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.